CDP Module1Exam Questions and
Answers
why are SATs (structured analytical technique)so important? - ✅✅their
application helps the analyst take a systematic approach to problem solving,
mitigate bias and error and enhance analytic credibility.
T/F structured analytical techniques are not only unique to intel? - ✅✅True
T/F/SATs are used to make sense of the info collected related to the frames intel
q's? - ✅✅True
what are the 4 types of SATs covered? - ✅✅ACH (Analysis of Competing)
AIM (Adversary Intent Matrix)
Alternative Futures
Argument mapping
what is the purpose of Analysis of Competing Hypothesis (ACH)? - ✅✅to
ensure all info and arguments are evaluated and given equal treatment then
considered in hypothesis.
what are the benefits of ACH? - ✅✅- ensures info and argumentation are given
equal treatment
- prevents analyst from premature closing on a particular explanation of
hypothesis
, - protects the analyst against innate tendencies to ignore or discount info that
does not fit comfortably with the preferred explanation at the time
what are the ACH steps (in short)? - ✅✅1. clearly identify intel q to be
answered. brainstorm and ensure hypothesis represents "MECE": Mutually
Exclusive, collectively Exhaustive
2. list all significant evidence and assumptions related to the q
3. prepare a matrix with hypothesis across the top and evidence along the side
and analyze the diagnosticity of the evidence and arguments, if it is helpful. is it C
(consistent), I (inconsistent), N/A (N), or D (disapproves)
4. revise matrix and delete evidence and arguments that have no diagnostic value
5. draw tentative conclusions about the realtive likelihood of each hypothesis, try
to disprove hypothesis.
6. analyze how sensitive your conclusion is to a few critical items of evidence and
consider the consequences for your analysis if the evidence is wrong, misleading
or subject to diff. interpretation
7. report conclusion. discuss the likelihood of all hypotheses not just most likely
ones
Answers
why are SATs (structured analytical technique)so important? - ✅✅their
application helps the analyst take a systematic approach to problem solving,
mitigate bias and error and enhance analytic credibility.
T/F structured analytical techniques are not only unique to intel? - ✅✅True
T/F/SATs are used to make sense of the info collected related to the frames intel
q's? - ✅✅True
what are the 4 types of SATs covered? - ✅✅ACH (Analysis of Competing)
AIM (Adversary Intent Matrix)
Alternative Futures
Argument mapping
what is the purpose of Analysis of Competing Hypothesis (ACH)? - ✅✅to
ensure all info and arguments are evaluated and given equal treatment then
considered in hypothesis.
what are the benefits of ACH? - ✅✅- ensures info and argumentation are given
equal treatment
- prevents analyst from premature closing on a particular explanation of
hypothesis
, - protects the analyst against innate tendencies to ignore or discount info that
does not fit comfortably with the preferred explanation at the time
what are the ACH steps (in short)? - ✅✅1. clearly identify intel q to be
answered. brainstorm and ensure hypothesis represents "MECE": Mutually
Exclusive, collectively Exhaustive
2. list all significant evidence and assumptions related to the q
3. prepare a matrix with hypothesis across the top and evidence along the side
and analyze the diagnosticity of the evidence and arguments, if it is helpful. is it C
(consistent), I (inconsistent), N/A (N), or D (disapproves)
4. revise matrix and delete evidence and arguments that have no diagnostic value
5. draw tentative conclusions about the realtive likelihood of each hypothesis, try
to disprove hypothesis.
6. analyze how sensitive your conclusion is to a few critical items of evidence and
consider the consequences for your analysis if the evidence is wrong, misleading
or subject to diff. interpretation
7. report conclusion. discuss the likelihood of all hypotheses not just most likely
ones
