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Summary - Actuarial Risk Management (BUS4027W) Chapter 32-39

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These are summaries for chapters 32 - 39 for Actuarial Risk Management. They contain all the important information from these chapters and have been summarized in an easy-to-learn format (including acronyms).

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CHAPTER 32 – PROVISIONS

PROVISIONS:

Calculated amounts that need to be set aside to meet a provider’s future
liabilities


TO DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE PROVISIONS : NEED TO
o Choose a valuation method
o Make assumptions about the future ( different basis )



REASONS FOR CALCULATING PROVISIONS FOR INDIVIDUAL
CONTRACTS
• To determine the value of liabilities for published accounts and reports
• To demonstrate supervisory solvency
• To determine the value of liabilities for internal management accounts
• To value the provider for a merger or acquisition ( transfer of liabilities )
• To determine whether the discretionary benefits can be awarded
• To set future contribution levels for a pension scheme
• To value benefit improvements for a pension scheme
• To calculate discontinuance / surrender benefits
• To influence investment strategy
• To provide disclosure information to beneficiaries
• To provide for expected credit losses for banks



GLOBAL PROVISIONS
It is necessary to make global provisions looking at the provider’s liability in aggregate.



THIS IS DONE FOR MULTIPLE REASONS :
 For solvency purposes
 The provider will be exposed to financial and non-financial risks which may merit an
additional provision in excess of the sum of provisions of each contract :
 Mismatching of assets and liabilities – where the investment conditions
result in liabilities cashflow increasing more than asset cashflows
 Credit risks – default of third party

,  Operational risks – anti-selection, regulatory fines or compensation for mis-
selling
 Provisions for guarantees


FACTORS AFFECTING THE LEVEL OF PROVISIONS REQUIRED FOR
ADDITIONAL RISKS
• The provider’s risk management strategy – whether it is detailed, effective , how
frequently monitored and updated will justify how much provisions should be held for
additional risks
• Risk appetite
• The regulatory requirements and
• how the regulator views its supervision on the provider



NUMERICAL CALCULATION OF PROVISIONS :

LIFE INSURANCES :
Use the standard formulae or the discounted cashflow approach


GENERAL INSURANCE :
Statistical methods ( run off triangles ) or case estimates


BENEFIT SCHEMES
Depends on whether the fund is a DC or DB:
DC : value of main benefits = amount of accumulated contributions net of charges
DB : value of benefits = we first determine the benefits using the formulae and then use the
discounted cashflow model to value the benefits


BANKS
Need to estimate and provide for the expected credit losses due to any credit product
issued.
Expected credit loss = probability of default * estimate of the loss given default * estimate
of the exposure at default

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