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Adkins_HA 612_Application Assignment Week 6

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Adkins_HA 612_Application Assignment Week 6

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Running head: UNIT 6 APPLICATION ASSIGNMENT 1




David A. Adkins

HA 612 Spring I

Dr. Ginger Raya

Park University

24 February 2019




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, UNIT 6 APPLICATION ASSIGNMENT 2


Chapter 12, Question 1

1. Refer to the following data set for nurse staffing hours in Hospital XYZ

1992 34,084 1997 41,008 2002 47,000 2007 70,456

1993 37,051 1998 41,817 2003 51,206 2008 87,865

1994 36,845 1999 46,815 2004 78,456 2009 75,084

1995 37,815 2000 45,845 2005 62,559 2010 77,615

1996 39,908 2001 46,036 2006 68,048 2011 81,084

a. Using the latest period or naïve period method, compute the forecast the nurse staffing hours

in 2012. The forecast for nurse suffering hours in 2012 by using the latest period or naive method

is 81084. In this method a forecaster uses the value of the latest period to forecast the next

period. This method is sometimes referred to as the naive method because it uses just one piece

of data when other relevant data are available (Kros & Brown, 2013). b. Model the time

series using Excel’s TREND function

See MS Excel Spreadsheet

Question 2

Using Excel, compute the three-year and five-year moving averages for the data set from

question 1 and determine the expected nurse staffing hours for 2012. Now compute a three-year

weighted moving average using ½, 1/3, and 1/6 for the weights of the most recent the most

recent, second most recent, and third most recent periods.

A moving average is a technique to get an overall idea of the trends in a data set; it is

an average of any subset of numbers. The moving average is extremely useful for forecasting

long-term trends (Statisticshowto.com, 2018). In this example the expected nurse staffing hours




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