QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS | 2026
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129 Questions with Answers and Detailed Rationales
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ISYE 6402 FINAL EXAM | QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS | 2026 UPDATED | 100% CORRECT - GT.. It contains
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Review Summary 129 Questions
Foundations - Application - ISYE 6402 AND 2026 Updated 100 Correct - GT TIME Series Analysis AND
Forecasting Graduate
All answers with rationales
,Table of Contents
Content Area Questions Key Topics
TIME Series Analysis 1-22 Model, TIME Series, Context, Primary, Filter
Fundamentals
Stationarity AND UNIT ROOT 23-44 Model, Series, Spectral, Process, Stationary
Tests
Arima Models 45-66 Model, Distribution, Condition, Process, Series
Seasonality AND 67-88 Model, Series, Regression, Appropriate, Interaction
Decomposition
Exponential Smoothing 89-110 Model, Series, Seasonal, Arima, Smoothing
Methods
Model Selection AND 111-129 Model, Prior, Hypothesis, Hypotheses, Bayes
Diagnostics
TOTAL 129 All questions include answers and detailed rationales
,Section A - TIME Series Analysis Fundamentals
Q1.
In the context of ARIMA model selection, which information criterion is asymptotically
efficient for selecting the true model order when the true model is of infinite order?
A. AIC B. BIC
C. AICc D. HQC
Correct: A - AIC
Rationale:AIC is asymptotically efficient, meaning it minimizes the mean squared prediction
error when the true model is infinite-dimensional. BIC is consistent, selecting the true model if
it is finite-dimensional, but not efficient under infinite-order settings. AICc is a small-sample
correction, not asymptotically efficient. HQC is also consistent but not efficient.
Q2.
When applying the Box-Cox transformation in time series analysis, what is the primary
purpose of the transformation?
A. To stabilize the variance B. To remove trend
C. To make the series stationary D. To reduce autocorrelation
Correct: A - To stabilize the variance
Rationale:The Box-Cox transformation is used to stabilize the variance of a time series,
making the data more homoscedastic. It does not directly remove trend or make the series
stationary; those are addressed by differencing or detrending. Autocorrelation is modeled, not
reduced by transformation.
Q3.
Which of the following is a key assumption of the classical additive decomposition model
for a seasonal time series?
A. The seasonal component is constant over B. The seasonal component's amplitude is
time. independent of the trend.
C. The error term has a normal distribution. D. The trend component is linear.
Correct: B - The seasonal component's amplitude is independent of the trend.
Page 3
, Section A - TIME Series Analysis Fundamentals
Rationale: In additive decomposition, the time series is modeled as the sum of components,
implying that the seasonal amplitude does not depend on the level of the trend. Multiplicative
decomposition is used when seasonal amplitude varies with trend. The seasonal component
can change over time, errors need not be normal, and trend need not be linear.
Q4.
In spectral analysis, the periodogram is an estimate of the spectral density. What is the
primary limitation of the raw periodogram?
A. It is biased. B. It is inconsistent.
C. It is only defined for stationary series. D. It cannot handle missing data.
Correct: B - It is inconsistent.
Rationale:The raw periodogram is an asymptotically unbiased but inconsistent estimator of
the spectral density; its variance does not decrease as the sample size increases. Smoothing
or averaging is required to achieve consistency. It is defined for stationary series and can
handle missing data with modifications.
Q5.
In the context of state-space models, what does the Kalman filter recursively compute?
A. The likelihood of the observed data B. The conditional distribution of the state
given past observations
C. The smoothed state estimates D. The parameters of the model
Correct: B - The conditional distribution of the state given past observations
Rationale:The Kalman filter performs filtering, which is the recursive estimation of the state's
conditional distribution given all past observations. Smoothing (option C) is a separate
backward pass. Likelihood computation (A) uses the filter as a byproduct, and parameter
estimation (D) is typically done via maximum likelihood, which uses the filter but is not its
primary output.
Q6.
Which test is commonly used to determine the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity
in a time series?
A. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test B. Ljung-Box test
C. Engle's ARCH test D. Jarque-Bera test
Correct: C - Engle's ARCH test
Page 4