SPIEC 2 Questions with Correct Answers
Lecture 7: Water insecurity, lifelihoods and migration
- story much more compex than computational models suggest
- computational models mis narratives
computational models
computer-based representations of real systems used to simulate and predict behavior/real life
Rigaud et al.
Groundswell Report (7)
- Cliamte change WILL lead to mass migration
De Haas
Climate refugees
- Climate change WILL NOT lead to mass migration
- Migration is most likely to happen within national borders
- Impacts are unequal: migration shaped by gender, class and other forms of marginalization
Depolitization of displacement
blame of migration is framed on environmetnal issues, rather than a political problem with
clear causes and responsibility
Multicausality
Migration cannot be reduced to one single cause
Lecture 8: Sea-level rise, flood risk and managed retreat
, - sea-level rise as a long term process forcing societies to plan for far ahead
3 options responding to SLR
1 protect: try to keep water out
2 Accomodate: let some water in, accept en how to deal with it, adaptation
3 Retreat: all move once & be safe
Why retreat?
Other options of responding to SLR are to expensive, minimal recurring financial costs
O'Neil et al
Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP's)
Scenarios
set of alternative possible futures of societal development
RCP's vs SSP's
RCP = possible warming outcome
SSP = storyline how we get to those possible warming outcomes
SSP 1 - Sustainability: Taking the Green Road
low challenges to mitigation & adaptation
sustainable dev. & emphasise human well-being (common good)
cooperation & collaboration, strong institutions
low population, reduction inequality
renewable energy, resource efficiency
@ RCP 2.6
green, cooperative, inclusive, easy to mitigate & adapt
Lecture 7: Water insecurity, lifelihoods and migration
- story much more compex than computational models suggest
- computational models mis narratives
computational models
computer-based representations of real systems used to simulate and predict behavior/real life
Rigaud et al.
Groundswell Report (7)
- Cliamte change WILL lead to mass migration
De Haas
Climate refugees
- Climate change WILL NOT lead to mass migration
- Migration is most likely to happen within national borders
- Impacts are unequal: migration shaped by gender, class and other forms of marginalization
Depolitization of displacement
blame of migration is framed on environmetnal issues, rather than a political problem with
clear causes and responsibility
Multicausality
Migration cannot be reduced to one single cause
Lecture 8: Sea-level rise, flood risk and managed retreat
, - sea-level rise as a long term process forcing societies to plan for far ahead
3 options responding to SLR
1 protect: try to keep water out
2 Accomodate: let some water in, accept en how to deal with it, adaptation
3 Retreat: all move once & be safe
Why retreat?
Other options of responding to SLR are to expensive, minimal recurring financial costs
O'Neil et al
Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP's)
Scenarios
set of alternative possible futures of societal development
RCP's vs SSP's
RCP = possible warming outcome
SSP = storyline how we get to those possible warming outcomes
SSP 1 - Sustainability: Taking the Green Road
low challenges to mitigation & adaptation
sustainable dev. & emphasise human well-being (common good)
cooperation & collaboration, strong institutions
low population, reduction inequality
renewable energy, resource efficiency
@ RCP 2.6
green, cooperative, inclusive, easy to mitigate & adapt
