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ECS3706 Assignment 2 (COMPLETE ANSWERS) Semester 2 2025 - DUE 18 September 2025

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ECS3706 Assignment 2 (COMPLETE ANSWERS) Semester 2 2025 - DUE 18 September 2025; 100% TRUSTED Complete, trusted solutions and explanations. For assistance, Whats-App 0.6.7-1.7.1-1.7.3.9. Ensure your success with us.Ahead of the November 2025 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS), the Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana warned about rising levels of unemployment and muted economic growth. You have just learnt about the six steps in applied regression. Apply your knowledge and show how you would explain the variation in unemployment using GDP growth, Foreign direct investment and Government expenditure on education. Step 1: Review the literature (Five recent journal articles -not more than 5 years old) and develop the theoretical model. Reflect on other variables that could be added to this model. Step 2: Specify the model and select the independent variables and the functional form Step 3: Hypothesise the expected signs of the coefficients Step 4: Collect data from the World Bank Development Indicators (WDI), inspect and clean the data Step 5: Estimate the model using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) technique and evaluate the equation Step 6: Document the results Numerous views have been advanced on the impact of tariffs on the economic growth of many countries. Using your econometrics knowledge, you decide to estimate the following model for the period 1980 to 2024:

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ECS3706
Assignment 2 Semester 2 2025
Unique Number:

Due Date: 18 September 2025

QUESTION 1

STEP 1: LITERATURE REVIEW AND DEVELOPMENT OF THEORETICAL MODEL

Unemployment is one of South Africa’s most persistent macroeconomic challenges,
exacerbated by slow GDP growth, limited foreign investment, and skills mismatch in the
labour market. Understanding the key drivers behind unemployment helps policymakers
make informed decisions. Economic theory suggests that growth, investment, and human
capital are critical in shaping employment outcomes. This step reviews recent literature
(within the past 5 years) and proposes a model to capture the relationships.

Recent Journal Articles

1. Khambule & Nomdo (2022) examined the relationship between government
spending and unemployment in South Africa. Their findings showed that increased
public spending on education positively affects long-term employability, but short-term
effects are minimal.
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QUESTION 1

STEP 1: LITERATURE REVIEW AND DEVELOPMENT OF THEORETICAL
MODEL

Unemployment is one of South Africa’s most persistent macroeconomic challenges,
exacerbated by slow GDP growth, limited foreign investment, and skills mismatch in
the labour market. Understanding the key drivers behind unemployment helps
policymakers make informed decisions. Economic theory suggests that growth,
investment, and human capital are critical in shaping employment outcomes. This
step reviews recent literature (within the past 5 years) and proposes a model to
capture the relationships.

Recent Journal Articles

1. Khambule & Nomdo (2022) examined the relationship between government
spending and unemployment in South Africa. Their findings showed that
increased public spending on education positively affects long-term
employability, but short-term effects are minimal.

2. Adegbite & Ayadi (2021) found a statistically significant negative relationship
between FDI and unemployment in sub-Saharan African countries. The study
noted that stable investment climates attract FDI that creates jobs, particularly
in the industrial and services sectors.

3. Chinomona & Hlongwane (2023) used regression analysis to explore how
GDP growth impacts unemployment in BRICS countries. Their findings
confirm Okun’s Law, which states that unemployment falls as GDP increases,
but the relationship is weak in countries with structural labour market issues.

4. Ngwenya & Mokoena (2020) studied education funding and labour
absorption in South Africa. They concluded that while public education
spending is high, the quality and relevance of education for the labour market
are key missing links.

5. Mpofu & Mlambo (2023) assessed the role of government policy in mediating
the effects of FDI on employment in developing economies. Their study
Disclaimer
Great care has been taken in the preparation of this document; however, the contents are provided "as is"
without any express or implied representations or warranties. The author accepts no responsibility or
liability for any actions taken based on the information contained within this document. This document is
intended solely for comparison, research, and reference purposes. Reproduction, resale, or transmission
of any part of this document, in any form or by any means, is strictly prohibited.

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