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ECS3701 Assignment 2 Semester 1 ANSWERS 2026 - Due 17 April 2026

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2.01 Read the following excerpt from BusinessTech below and answer the questions that follow: The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) has decided to keep interest rates unchanged amid heightened volatility in global financial markets caused by the conflict in the Middle East. This leaves the repo rate at 6.75% and the prime lending rate at 10.25%. The decision was unanimous, with all six members of the MPC voting to hold. The decision did not come as a surprise, as economists and analysts had anticipated the position. Also in-line with market expectations, the central bank signalled possible rate hikes, if its baseline assumptions deteriorate. The SARB joins a large number of central banks around the world that elected to freeze their rates as the United States’ war in the Middle East rages on. The path for South Africa’s interest rates took a turn for the worse when the US and Israel launched attacks on Iran at the end of February 2026. Source: Reserve Bank holds interest rates in South Africa (i) According to this excerpt, with the recent monetary policy stance on keeping the repo rate unchanged, what effect will this have on the economy? Will this monetary policy approach have a positive, negative, or neutral effect on the economy? Explain your answer. [5] (ii) Which monetary policy mandate is the SARB pursuing? Provide a further illustration of the chosen mandate. Question 2,5 Question 2.4 Question 2.6

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ECS3701
ASSIGNMENT 2
DUE DATE: 17 APRIL 2026

, ECS3701 Assignment 2 2026

Due 17 April 2026


Source: Reserve Bank holds interest rates in South Africa



According to this excerpt, with the recent monetary policy stance on keeping the
repo rate unchanged, what effect will this have on the economy? Will
this monetary policy approach have a positive, negative, or neutral effect on
the economy? Explain your answer.



2.01 (i) Effect of keeping the repo rate unchanged



The SARB’s decision to keep the repo rate at 6.75% (prime lending rate at 10.25%)
represents a neutral monetary policy stance. In the short run, this has a neutral effect on
the economy: it does not directly stimulate or contract aggregate demand. By not raising
rates, the SARB avoids adding further borrowing costs to households and firms, which
could have reduced consumption and investment. At the same time, by not lowering
rates, it refrains from injecting additional liquidity that might fuel inflation, especially
given the rising global inflation expectations from Middle East tensions. The neutral
stance signals that the SARB is monitoring risks but believes current rates are
appropriate to keep inflation within the 3-6% target range. Thus, the effect is neither
clearly positive nor negative, it maintains stability while preserving the option to tighten
later if inflation pressures materialise.


(Mishkin (2016, ch. 5, pp. 107-111; ch. 16, pp. 366-370); Unisa Study Guide (2017, Learning Unit 14, p.

66 – SARB inflation targeting).

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