Verified 100% Correct
Decision Making Under Risk - ANSWER -- Expected value
- Decision trees
Expected Value Method - ANSWER -- maximize EMV (probability of outcome *
payoff of outcome)
- OR minimize EOL (probability of outcome * regret of outcome)
EMV - ANSWER -- use payoff table, maximize the value
- make equations based on weak and strong demand
- strong demand * p, weak demand * 1-p, add them
- equations can be used to find indifference points
EMV Graph - ANSWER -- plot lines
- intersections represent indifference points
- should NOT dictate choices
- more risk as you approach certainties (P=0, P=1)
Linear Model Assumptions - ANSWER -- certainty
- proportionality
- additivity
- divisibility (solution doesn't need to be an integer)
Linear Model - ANSWER -- x raised to the first power
- aims to minimize or maximize something
- has limitations (constraints)
- there MUST be alternatives available
Linear Programming - ANSWER -a mathematical optimization model build
entirely from linear equations and/or inequalities
Components of an LP Model - ANSWER -- decision variables
- parameters
- objective function
- contraints
Redundant Contraint - ANSWER -- does not determine the feasible region
, - won't usually prevent an optimal solution from being found
- creates excess baggage
- could be a modeling error
*don't remove it, instead think about how to close the gap
Feasible Region - ANSWER -the set of points that satisfies all constraints
Corner Point Property - ANSWER -an optimal solution must lie at one or more
corner points (optimal point)
Binding (Active) Constraint - ANSWER -- restricts the solution; 0 slack or surplus
- occurs if the RHS = LHS (always at least one present)
- can change when an old constraint is no longer useful
Non-Binding (Inactive) Constraint - ANSWER -- does not restrict the solution
from becoming infinitely large or small
- non-zero slack or surplus
- always results from a modeling error
Slack - ANSWER -extra RHS in a non-binding constraint
Surplus - ANSWER -- over achievement of RHS in a non-binding constraint
- can make the solution more optimal
Multiple Optimal - ANSWER -- alternate optimal solutions are available
- the slope of the objective function is equal to the slope of an active constraint
- provides flexibility which is generally desirable
- two adjacent points share an indifference point
- software can only identify corner point solutions
Infeasibility - ANSWER -- there's no overlapping area of constraints
- software can detect but can't determine the cause
Sensitivity Analysis - ANSWER -How sensitive is our optimal solution to changes
and assumptions we made?
Includes analyzing the effect of changes in
- Objective function coefficients
- RHS values
- Constrain coefficients