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ISYE 6402 Midterm Exam (Latest 2025/ 2026 Update) Review| Q/A | Grade A| 100% Correct (Verified Answers)

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ISYE 6402 Midterm Exam (Latest 2025/ 2026 Update) Review| Q/A | Grade A| 100% Correct (Verified Answers) QUESTION Getting a 3 variable VAR model from summary(model) output of a VAR(1) model Answer: first matrix: first row are coefficients for Xt1, second row are coefficients for Xt2, etc... second matrix is Xt-1, i b/c this is a VAR(1) model last matrix are the constants eta_t is covariance matrix, direct copy QUESTION (c) Based on the fitted model, is there contemporaneous cross-correlation? Is there lagged cross-correlation? Is there lagged auto-correlation? Explain. Answer: contemporaneous cross-correlation is NOT present if the variance-covariance matrix is a diagonal matrix there is lagged correlation if the order p of the VAR(p) model 0 QUESTION T/F - Differencing the data might not make the series stationary in the presence of cointegration. Answer: True QUESTION Cointegration and long-run equilibrium Answer: QUESTION Does cov(x,x) = var(x)? Answer: You betcha QUESTION Autocovariance T/F Answer: QUESTION T/F - The AR(1) process is causal if and only if the autoregressive parameter phi is between 0 and 1. However, it is always invertible. Answer: FALSE! the absolute value of phi must lie b/w -1 and 1 QUESTION T/F - A linear process is a special case of the moving average model. Answer: FALSE - the moving average is a special case of a linear process. QUESTION T/F - A guassian time series is always stationary

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ISYEl 6402l Midterml Examl (Latestl 2025/l
2026l Update)l Review|l Q/Al |l Gradel A|l
100%l Correctl (Verifiedl Answers)

Q:l Gettingl al 3l variablel VARl modell froml summary(model)l outputl ofl al VAR(1)l model

Answer:




firstl matrix:l firstl rowl arel coefficientsl forl Xt1,l secondl rowl arel coefficientsl forl Xt2,l etc...

secondl matrixl isl Xt-1,l il b/cl thisl isl al VAR(1)l model

lastl matrixl arel thel constants

eta_tl isl covariancel matrix,l directl copy




Q:l (c)l Basedl onl thel fittedl model,l isl therel contemporaneousl cross-correlation?l Isl therel
laggedl cross-correlation?l Isl therel laggedl auto-correlation?l Explain.



Answer:



contemporaneousl cross-correlationl isl NOTl presentl ifl thel variance-covariancel matrixl isl al
diagonall matrix

,therel isl laggedl correlationl ifl thel orderl pl ofl thel VAR(p)l modell >l 0




Q:l T/Fl -l Differencingl thel datal mightl notl makel thel seriesl stationaryl inl thel presencel
ofl cointegration.


Answer:
True




Q:l Cointegrationl andl long-runl equilibrium

Answer:




Q:l Doesl cov(x,x)l =l var(x)?

Answer:
Youl betcha

, Q:l Autocovariancel T/F

Answer:




Q:l T/Fl -l Thel AR(1)l processl isl causall ifl andl onlyl ifl thel autoregressivel parameterl phil
isl betweenl 0l andl 1.l However,l itl isl alwaysl invertible.


Answer:
FALSE!l thel absolutel valuel ofl phil mustl liel b/wl -1l andl 1




Q:l T/Fl -l Al linearl processl isl al speciall casel ofl thel movingl averagel model.

Answer:
FALSEl -l thel movingl averagel isl al speciall casel ofl al linearl process.




Q:l T/Fl -l Al guassianl timel seriesl isl alwaysl stationary

Answer:
falsel -l guassianl processesl canl havel varyingl means




Q:l T/Fl 'Inl autoregressivel modelsl thel currentl valuel ofl dependentl variablel isl influencedl
byl pastl valuesl ofl bothl dependentl andl independentl variables.'

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