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Class notes Lecture 3 Statistics 2/Statistiek 2 (P_BSTATIS_2)

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Multiple Regression Lecture Notes (Advanced Regression Analysis) A complete guide to multiple regression for predicting outcomes using multiple variables ️ Constructing & Interpreting Multiple Regression Models ️ Bivariate vs. Multiple Regression (Statistical Control, Shared Variance, Adjusted R²) ️ Regression Coefficients & Interaction Effects ️ Hypothesis Testing (F-tests, t-tests, p-values, Confidence Intervals) ️ Explained Variation (TSS, SSE, RSS) & Predictive Power of Models ️ SPSS Output & Interpretation (ANOVA, Coefficients, Model Summary, Variance Explained)

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Multiple Regression


Learning Objectives:
● Explain when you would use multiple regression analysis.
● Construct a multiple regression model to examine the association between one quantitative
outcome and two or more quantitative predictors
● Interpret the parameters in a multiple regression model
● Interpret the sums of squares in a multiple regression model
● Draw a conclusion about the explanatory power of two quantitative predictors of one
quantitative outcome.
● Explain how the parameter estimation and significance test of the multiple regression
model function.


(1) Hypothesis Testing

1.1 Process of Hypothesis Testing

1. Formulate an hypothesis
○ What do you expect?
2. Check study characteristics and variables
○ Sampling procedure, (experimental) design, measurement levels
3. Descriptive analyses
○ What are the sample characteristics, how are the relevant variables distributed (inc. M
and SDs)?
4. Inferential analyses
○ Test a relation or differences, including a check of the model diagnostics
5. Interpret and report results:
○ Report your findings in APA style

1.2 Hypotheses, Study Characteristics and Variables

Research Question: Do class size and percentage of free meals together explain differences in
academic performance?

Cross-sectional study across randomly selected schools in the Netherlands

3 Quantitative variables:
● Y: response variable (outcome variable) → academic performance
● X1 and X2: explanatory variables (predictor variable) → class size and percentage of free
meals (indicator of SES)

Hence, do class size and percentage of free meals together explain variation in academic
performance?

, 1.3 Bivariate Association
When an association between two variables is analysed

Academic performance and class size
● Positive association
● CS explained 11% of the variation in AP

Academic performance and percentage of free meals
● Negative association
● PFM explained 85% of the variation in AP

Class size and percentage of free meals
● Negative association
● PFM explained 12% of the variation in CS

Hence, how much variation in AP will PFM and CS
together explain?

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February 9, 2025
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