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A-LEVEL PEARSON EDEXEL 9MAO/31 LEVEL 3 GCE MATHEMATICS ADVANCED PAPER 31 STATISTICS (AUTHENTIC MARKING SCHEME ATTACHED)

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Q:1/1/1/1/ A-LEVEL PEARSON EDEXEL 9MAO/31 LEVEL 3 GCE MATHEMATICS ADVANCED PAPER 31 STATISTICS (AUTHENTIC MARKING SCHEME ATTACHED) *P72130A0120*

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Please check the examination details below before entering your candidate information

Candidate surname Other names



Centre Number Candidate Number




Pearson Edexcel Level 3 GCE
9MA0/31
Paper
reference
Mathematics  


Advanced
PAPER 31: Statistics

You must have: Total Marks
Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables (Green), calculator




A-LEVEL PEARSON EDEXEL 9MAO/31
A-LEVEL 3 GCE MATHEMATICS
ADVANCED PAPER 31 STATISTICS

(AUTHENTIC MARKING SCHEME
ATTACHED)

Q:1/1/1/1/
*P72130A0120*

©2022 Pearson Education Ltd.

,1. George throws a ball at a target 15 times.
Each time George throws the ball, the probability of the ball hitting the target is 0.48

The random variable X represents the number of times George hits the target in
15 throws.
(a) Find
(i) P (X = 3)
(ii) P (X 5)
(3)

George now throws the ball at the target 250 times.

(b) Use a normal approximation to calculate the probability that he will hit the target
more than 110 times.
(3)
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2
*P72130A0220*
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,Question 1 continued
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(Total for Question 1 is 6 marks)
3

 *P72130A0320* Turn over

, 2. A manufacturer uses a machine to make metal rods.

The length of a metal rod, L cm, is normally distributed with
• a mean of 8 cm

• a standard deviation of x cm

Given that the proportion of metal rods less than 7.902 cm in length is 2.5%
(a) show that x = 0.05 to 2 decimal places.
(2)

(b) Calculate the proportion of metal rods that are between 7.94 cm and 8.09 cm
in length.
(1)

The cost of producing a single metal rod is 20p

A metal rod
• where L < 7.94 is sold for scrap for 5p
• where 7.94 L 8.09 is sold for 50p

• where L > 8.09 is shortened for an extra cost of 10p and then sold for 50p

(c) Calculate the expected profit per 500 of the metal rods.
Give your answer to the nearest pound.
(5)

The same manufacturer makes metal hinges in large batches.

The hinges each have a probability of 0.015 of having a fault.

A random sample of 200 hinges is taken from each batch and the batch is accepted if
fewer than 6 hinges are faulty.
The manufacturer's aim is for 95% of batches to be accepted.

(d) Explain whether the manufacturer is likely to achieve its aim.
(4)
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4
*P72130A0420*

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