Summary statistics and methodology, methodology
Lecture 6, Power
Scientific studies are sometimes bound to fail (wrong resources, not reading literature
beforehand)
Definition of statistical power: The probability to detect an effect that is actually there
Or: The probability to reject H0 when it is incorrect
- Under-powered studies are bound to fail
The probability to reject H0 when it is incorrect is determined by:
- Sample size
- Effect size
- Experimental design
- Etc.
,Example 1:
Do men and women from the regular population score differently on an IQ test?
Given: H0 is true: there is no difference
Mostly we find a T-value of 0
However, when we find a high t-value: Type I error→ incorrect conclusion that M and F
differ
,Example 2:
Do men and women from the regular population score differently on an IQ test?
Given: H0 is false: there is a difference
Of what are these distributions?
- Distribution of the test statistic (in this case the t-value) under H0 and H1
- NOT the distribution of data
, All things being equal:
If alpha gets smaller, beta gets larger
If alpha gets larger, beta gets smaller
Alpha is mostly 0.05
Lecture 6, Power
Scientific studies are sometimes bound to fail (wrong resources, not reading literature
beforehand)
Definition of statistical power: The probability to detect an effect that is actually there
Or: The probability to reject H0 when it is incorrect
- Under-powered studies are bound to fail
The probability to reject H0 when it is incorrect is determined by:
- Sample size
- Effect size
- Experimental design
- Etc.
,Example 1:
Do men and women from the regular population score differently on an IQ test?
Given: H0 is true: there is no difference
Mostly we find a T-value of 0
However, when we find a high t-value: Type I error→ incorrect conclusion that M and F
differ
,Example 2:
Do men and women from the regular population score differently on an IQ test?
Given: H0 is false: there is a difference
Of what are these distributions?
- Distribution of the test statistic (in this case the t-value) under H0 and H1
- NOT the distribution of data
, All things being equal:
If alpha gets smaller, beta gets larger
If alpha gets larger, beta gets smaller
Alpha is mostly 0.05