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CBAD 292 Exam 3: Advanced Business Concepts and Applications

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CBAD 292 Exam 3: Advanced Business Concepts and Applications

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December 15, 2024
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CBAD 292 Exam 3: Advanced Business
Concepts and Applications

A decision maker has chosen .4 as the probability for which he cannot choose between a certain loss of
10,000 and the lottery p(-25000) + (1 - p)(5000). If the utility of -25,000 is 0 and of 5000 is 1, then the
utility of -10,000 is - correct answer ✔✔.6



A decision maker whose utility function graphs as a straight line is - correct answer ✔✔risk neutral



A decision tree - correct answer ✔✔arranges decision alternatives and states of nature in their natural
chronological order.



A decision tree provides - correct answer ✔✔an objective way of determining the relative value of each
decision alternative.



A paint company has three sources for buying bright red pigment for their paints: Vietnam, Taiwan, or
Thailand. Unfortunately, the pigment is made from a bush whose annual growth is heavily dependent
upon the amount of rainfall during the growing season. The tables below show probabilities and prices
for wet, dry and normal growing seasons:



Probabilities

Wet Dry Normal

Vietnam .5 .2 .3

Taiwan .6 .3 .1

Thailand .4 .4 .2



Price/Pound ($)

Wet Dry Normal

Vietnam .95 1.10 1.00

Taiwan .85 1.20 .98

, Thailand .90 1.15 1.05



What country should the company select? - correct answer ✔✔Taiwan



A payoff - correct answer ✔✔exists for each pair of decision alternative and state of nature.



Decision tree probabilities refer to - correct answer ✔✔the probability of an uncertain event occurring



Decision tree probabilities refer to the probability of - correct answer ✔✔an uncertain event occurring.



After careful analysis, East West has determined the following cost breakdown for the four
manufacturers (in $1,000's) based on whether or not the trade bill passes: Country A

Bill Passes

260

Bill Fails

210

Country B

Bill Passes

320

Bill Fails

160

Country C

Bill Passes

240

Bill Fails

240

Country D

Bill Passes

275

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