9th Edition by Leland Blank
Complete Chapter Solutions Manual
are included (Ch 1 to 19)
** Immediate Download
** Swift Response
** All Chapters included
** Excel Solutions included
,Table of Contents are given below
1) Foundations of Engineering Economy
2) Factors: How Time and Interest Affect Money
3) Combining Factors and Spreadsheet Functions
4) Nominal and Effective Interest Rates
5) Analysis Using Present Worth and Future Worth Values
6) Annual Worth Analysis
7) Rate of Return Analysis: One Project
8) Rate of Return Analysis: Multiple Alternatives
9) Benefit/Cost Analysis and Public Sector Economics
10) Project Financing and Noneconomic Attributes
11) Replacement and Retention Decisions
12) Independent Projects with Budget Limitation
13) Breakeven and Payback Analysis
14) Effects of Inflation
15) Cost Estimation and Indirect Cost Allocation
16) Depreciation and Depletion Methods
17) After-Tax Economic Analysis
18) Sensitivity Analysis and Staged Decisions
19) Decision Making under Risk
,Solutions Manual organized in reverse order, with the last chapter displayed
first, to ensure that all chapters are included in this document.
(Complete Chapters included Ch19-1)
Engineering Economy, 9th edition
Leland Blank and Anthony Tarquin
Chapter 19
Decision Making under Risk
Certainty, Risk, and Uncertainty
19.1 (a) Discrete
(b) Discrete
(c) Continuous
(d) Continuous
(e) Discrete
19.2 (a) Continuous (assumed) and uncertain
(b) Discrete with risk
(c) Two variables: first is discrete and certain at $800; second is continuous for ≥ $800, but
uncertain (at this point)
(d) Discrete with risk
(e) Discrete and certain
19.3 Needed or assumed information to calculate an expected value:
1. Treat output as discrete or continuous variable
2. If discrete, center points on cells, e.g., 8000, 15,000, and 18,000 units per week
3. Probability estimates for < 10,000 and /or > 20,000 units per week
Probability and Distributions
19.4 In $ million units,
E damage 19 0.35 41 0.36 97 0.20 210 0.09
$59.71 million
19.5 Determine the probability values for C
C 0 1 2 3 4 ≥5
P C 0.12 0.56 0.26 0.032 0.022 0.006
(a) P C 0 or 1 P C 0 P C 1 0.12 0.56 0.68 68%
(b) P C 1 or 2 0.56 0.26 0.82 82%
(c) P C 3 P C 4 P C 5 0.022 0.006 0.028 2.8%
, 19.6 (a) Discrete as shown
(b) E RI 6000 0.10 8500 0.21 9500 0.32 10,500 0.24 12,500 0.09
15,500 0.04
$9690
(c) P RI 10,500 P RI 10,500 P RI 15,500
0.24 0.09 0.04
0.37 37%
(d) Plot shown for observed values of Royalty Income, RI
19.7 (a) Calculate probabilities and plot the distribution. Using a spreadsheet, the result is:
Expense Number
range of Probability,
midpoint, months P(E)
E, $1000
5 2 2/36 = 0.056
15 5 5/36 = 0.139
25 8 8/36 = 0.222
35 7 7/36 = 0.194
45 6 6/36 = 0.167
55 5 5/36 = 0.139
65 3 3/36 = 0.083
Total 36 1.000
(b) Can use months or probabilities; using probabilities
Let E i = midpoint range i = 1, 2, …, 9. The $45,000 midpoint includes $40,000
P E $40,000 0.167 0.139 0.083 0.389 38.9%
Using months, P E $40,000 6 5 3 /36 0.389 38.9%