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Summary Factors affecting the success of PMs (voting behaviour and the media)

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A table summarising the factors that affect voting behaviour, with examples from each election provided. Factors include: the economy, the opposition, media support, manifestos, campaigns, governing competence and events. Useful for Pearson Edexcel Politics Paper 1 (UK politics).

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Uploaded on
June 16, 2024
Number of pages
3
Written in
2023/2024
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Argument (AO2) Evidence (AO1)

The economy  1979: Winter of Discontent
 1983: Thatcher’s harsh economic medicine + recession -
economic recovery
 1987: continued economic recovery
 1992: 1991 recession
 1997: Black Wednesday
 2010: Parliamentary expenses scandal
 2010: 2008 financial crisis

Media support  1979: only the Mirror and The Guardian back Labour
 1983: only the Mirror backed Labour
 1987: only the Mirror and the Guardian back Labour
 1992: only the Mirror and the Guardian back Labour - ‘It’s
the Sun Wot Won It’: press were almost universally
hostile to Kinnock
 1997: The Sun switched sides: ‘The Sun Backs Blair’
 2001: The Times and the Express join The Sun in backing
Labour. Only the Mail and The Telegraph support the
Conservatives
 2005: the media were split
 2010: only the Mirror backs Labour
 2015: Miliband was dubbed ‘Red Ed’ by the media
 2015: most of the media thought a hung parliament
would be likely, with a close race
 2017: commentators predicted a landslide for May and
the press were even more hostile to Corbyn than to
Miliband
 2017: the social media election
 2019: Brexit was the most prominent issue in media
coverage
 2019: the press was almost universally hostile to Labour
 2019: antisemitism scandal during the campaign

Manifestos/campaigns  1979: Both running on middle-of-the-road manifestos.
 1979: Saatchi & Saatchi ‘Labour isn’t Working’ and The
Sun ‘Crisis, What Crisis?’
 1983: Labour manifesto was deemed ‘The longest suicide
note in history’ and it was too radical
 1987: the public thought Labour fought a better campaign
(40% vs 37%)
 1987: Labour was too far from the centre ground
 1992: more centrist manifesto from Labour but
commitment to ‘tax and spend’
 1997: Labour offer 5 key pledges and a centrist manifesto
 1997: ‘New Labour New Danger’ from Conservatives
 2001: Conservatives promise tax cuts
 2005: Labour relied on their strong record in government,
which was overshadowed slightly by Iraq
 2005: Howard kept the party on the right
 2010: Labour campaigns on competence whereas the
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