National and International Economy
Question Paper & Mark Scheme (Merged) Monday 19 May 2025 [VERIFIED]
IB/M/Jun25/G
4002/V6
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Section A
Answer EITHER Context 1 OR Context 2.
EITHER
Context 1 The value of the Norwegian krone and its effects on Total for this context: 40 marks
Norway’s economy
Study Extracts A, B and C, and then answer all parts of Context 1 which follow.
Extract A:
Figure 1: Norwegian krone (NOK) to Singapore Figure 2: Macroeconomic performance
dollar (SGD) exchange rate, indicators for Germany, Norway
January 2020 to December 2023 and Singapore, average rates
between 2020 and 2023
Source: Investing.com, 2024 Source: World Bank,
2024
Extract B: Norway’s currency, the krone, has depreciated
The value of the Norwegian currency, the krone, has depreciated. Over the past 10 years, the
krone has fallen by over 20% against the euro and the US dollar. Although a fall in the value of
the krone may help some macroeconomic objectives, it can make others harder to achieve.
Inflation has decreased since its peak of 7.5% in October 2022. However, the depreciating
krone means that it will take longer for inflation to reach its target rate as imported goods 5
become more expensive. Some analysts hope that, before long, the currency will start to
appreciate which could help Norway reduce inflation.
Norway’s average CPI inflation rate for 2023 was 5.5%, with nominal wage growth of 5.1%.
Thus, real wage growth was negative, reducing average living standards. Norway’s economy is
heavily reliant on the export of oil, which makes the krone sensitive to changes in oil prices. 10
Sales of oil and gas helped Norway record a current account surplus of 17.5% of GDP in 2023.
Some economists argue that in a small open economy like Norway’s, managing the exchange
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rate, by intervening in currency markets, is the best way to achieve economic and price stability.
They believe that, over the medium-term, there is a stable and predictable link between the
exchange rate and inflation. However, targeting the exchange rate means the central bank gives 15
up control of interest rates.
Source: News reports, 2024
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Extract C: Singapore’s managed exchange rate
An economy that has seen considerable success by intervening in the foreign exchange
market to manage its currency is Singapore. Rather than focusing on using interest rates, the
Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) manages the country’s exchange rate. Singapore
does not peg its currency directly to another, such as the US dollar. Instead, the Singapore
dollar (SGD) is allowed to fluctuate, within a band, against a trade-weighted basket 5
of currencies.
This approach has several benefits for Singapore’s economy. A managed floating exchange
rate provides Singapore’s government with the flexibility to respond to economic shocks
and maintain stability. It allows the exchange rate to adjust gradually, reducing the risk of
volatile
currency movements. Also, by managing the SGD against a basket of currencies, Singapore’s 10
government can ensure that its economy remains competitive in international trade.
A stable economy and exchange rate is attractive to foreign investors, leading to large inflows
of foreign direct investment (FDI). It is also crucial for Singapore’s role as a global financial
centre. However, by targeting the exchange rate, the ability to use other tools of
macroeconomic policy is limited. 15
Source: News reports, 2024
0 1 Using the data in Extract A (Figure 1), calculate how the value of the Norwegian krone has
changed compared to the Singapore dollar between 26 October 2021
and 29 May 2023.
Give your answer as a percentage and to one decimal place.
[2 marks]
0 2 Explain how the data in Extract A (Figure 2) show that Singapore may have benefitted
from managing its exchange rate compared to Germany and Norway.
[4 marks]
0 3 Extract B (lines 6–7) states: ‘Some analysts hope that, before long, the currency will start
to appreciate which could help Norway reduce inflation.’
With the help of a suitable diagram, explain how an appreciation of the krone could help
Norway reduce inflation.
[9 marks]
0 4 Extract C (lines 1–2) states: ‘An economy that has seen considerable success by
intervening in the foreign exchange market to manage its currency is Singapore.’
Using the data in the extracts and your knowledge of economics, assess the view that an
economy is likely to perform better with a managed exchange rate rather than a freely
floating exchange rate.
[25 marks]
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