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CMT Level 1 Study Guide Questions and Answers 100% Correct

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CMT Level 1 Study Guide Questions and Answers 100% Correct

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CMT Level 1 Study Guide

Questions and Answers 100%

Correct


Define what is meant by a trend in technical analysis - CORRECT ANSWER--

Uptrend is when prices reach higher peaks and higher troughs (VV for

Downtrend)

- Flat trend (sideways trend) is when a price trades in a range without significant

underlying upward or downward movement

Explain why determining the trend is important to analysts - CORRECT

ANSWER-o From a technical analysts perspective "a trend is a directional

movement of prices that remains in effect long enough to be identified and still be

profitable."

• Identify Primary, Secondary, short-term, and intraday trends - CORRECT

ANSWER-o Primary Trend - measured in months or years

o Secondary Trend - Measured in weeks or months

o Short-term Trend - measured in days

,o Intraday trend - measured in minutes or hours

• Describe the basic beliefs behind the art of technical analysis - CORRECT

ANSWER-o 1. Freely Traded, market prices, in general, travel in trends

o 2. Price is determined by the interaction of supply and demand

o 3. Price discounts everything

o 4. Prices are nonrandom

o 5. History will repeat itself and humans will behave similarly to the way they have

in the past

o 6. Patterns are fractal

o 7. Emotions are affected by earlier emotions through emotional feedback

(people telling other people to buy because they made money and are happy)

• Define "fractal" as used in describing price action - CORRECT ANSWER-

Fractal - Ability for trends to act similarly over different periods

• Describe the history of Dow Theory - CORRECT ANSWER-o Charles Dow

started it. Made an index to measure overall price movement in U.S. stocks. He

died. Journalist coined "Dow Theory." Friend took over and attempted to beat

Market. People analyzed it and determined he failed. Later on, more people

analyzed it and determined he beat it according to risk adjustment and timing

market.




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,• Discuss the basic principles of Dow Theory - CORRECT ANSWER-o 1. Ideal

Market picture consists of an uptrend, top, downtrend, and bottom, interspersed

with retracements and consolidations.

o 2. Economic rationale should be used to explain stock market action

o 3. Prices trend

• Identify the three basic types of trend identified in Dow Theory as defined by

time: primary, secondary and minor (Refer to pg 20 for picture) - CORRECT

ANSWER-o Primary - Can be several years, longest of the three, represents the

overall broad long-term movement of security prices.

o Secondary - intermediate trend that runs counter to the primary. Generally last a

few weeks to a few months. Price movement generally retraces from 33% to 66%

of the primary price change.

o Minor - Check pg. 21 for clarity - A line is two to three weeks of horizontal price

movement in an average within a 5% range.

• Describe the "ideal market picture" according to Dow Theory - CORRECT

ANSWER-o consists of an uptrend, top, downtrend, and bottom, interspersed

with retracements and consolidations (Ex. On P. 18)

• Express the concept of confirmation in Dow Theory - CORRECT ANSWER-o

In Dow's time, confirmation was the consideration of the Industrial Average and

Railroad Average together. Example is when there is a primary bullmarket but the

, secondary trend fails to make a new high (i.e. turn back into a primary). Could be a

warning that the primary is going to Bull Market (a non-confirmation). In today's

day, Confirmation is usually confirmed between the S&P500 and Russell 2000.

• Explain the role of volume in Dow Theory - CORRECT ANSWER-o Volume

cannot itself signal a trend reversal, but it is an important secondary confirmation

of a trend. However, price trend and confirmation overrode any consideration of

volume.

• List advantages of reviewing price information in chart format - CORRECT

ANSWER-o 1. Provide price history

o 2. Provide good sense of Market's volatility

o 3. Useful for the fundamental analyst - Analyst can find big price move on chart,

determine what fundamentals were changed at this time, and then construct a price

behavioral model

o 4. Serve as a timing tool for those who base their decisions on other info

o 5. Used as a money management tool by defining meaningful stop points

o 6. Reflects market behavior that is subject to certain repetitive patterns

• Review the data points required to construct the line, bar, and candlestick charts -

CORRECT ANSWER-o Line - Price and Time

o Bar - High, low, and closing price for each time interval (some contain the

opening price, as well)


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