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Summary Hypothetico-Deductivism

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Hypothetico-Deductivism
Created @May 6, 2022 12:35 AM

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We need evidencince→ impossible to gather all the evidence → variable can throw
something off
Carl Gustav Hempel




Semmelweis’s Story
Maternity divison - ward 1 - 11.4% death rate vs ward 2 2.7% rate
Various possible explanations:



1. Epidemic influences

2. Overcrowding

3. Diet

4. General Care

5. Injuries from rough examinations - medical students in ward 1

6. Terrorizing effect of last rite’s priest’s bell



Semmelweis evaluates and rules out each explanation
Colleage died after puncturing finger during autopsy
→ Matter from corpse killed colleauge



Hypothetico-Deductivism 1

, → Similar symptoms as women’s death
→ Students went from autopsy to pregnant women

→ blood poisoning from corpse matter to pregnant women
→ Students wash hands with chlorinated solution, Death rate decreases



Hempels’ critique of inductivism:


Inductivism:

1. Collect facts

2. classification and tabulation

3. Inductive inference to correct explantions



Problems:

1. Collection of all facts is impossible - must find relevant facts

Can’t distinguish important circumstances

Tentative Hypothesis (proposed answer) directs which facts are important



2. Sets of facts can be classified in a multitude of ways that are irrelevant

The Hypothesis, once again, guides the classification of facts



3. The correct result cannot be a result of inductive generalizations on observed
correlations of facts alone

The correct hypthesis cannot be found by inductive inference



Solution → Hypothetico-Deductivism




Hypothetico-Deductivism 2
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