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Financial intermediation and regulation: samenvatting

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This summary is based on the lessons taught by both Professor Bouckaert and Professor Swyngedouw during the Financial Intermediation & Regulation course at the University of Antwerp's FBE faculty. The subject matter of the visit to the National Bank of Belgium will also be covered.

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PROGRAM INTRODUCTION
PRACTICAL INFORMATION

1. Exam
Questions
●​ 1 question about the visit of the NBB (4 points)
●​ 1 question about the part of Jan Bouckaert (chapter 1-4: 8 points)
●​ 1 question about the part of Jo Swyngedouw (chapter 5,7,8: 8 points)


2. Bank runs

1929: US 2007: Great Britain 2023: Silicon Valley Bank




⇒ not only an academic topic, let alone only a historical event




1

,WHAT’S DIFFERENT ABOUT BANKS? - part 1
What is a bank? What do banks do?

1. What do banks do?
Most important activities
●​ collect money (deposits)
●​ lend money (loans)
●​ provide liquidity through a transformation function​
→ short-term deposits are transformed into long-term investments


1.1 Operational definition




Current
In contrast to banks, non-financial corporations only occasionally engage in lending from or borrowing to their
customers or suppliers (eg. customer credit through delay of payment).

Granting loans and receiving deposits
●​ narrow banks or mutual funds collect deposits and invest in (publicly) traded securities
●​ finance or credit companies finance loans by issuing debt/equity

Public
●​ provision of liquidity and payment services to the grand public
●​ each depositor is
○​ “small”, unlike an institutional investor (large number of small, dispersed customers)
○​ “ill-informed” about the bank’s condition​
→ customers don’t know what the bank does with their money, but they trust regulation
●​ the bank offers a public good: safe financial payment/deposit system
●​ government intervention is appropriate
○​ protection of depositors
○​ safe payment system (eg. avoid phishing)


1.2 Banks’ activities
Banks have multiple activities
●​ offering access to a liquid payment system
○​ money changing and storage
○​ payment services
●​ short term to long term asset transformation (= maturity transformation)
●​ risk management, to optimize their internal organizations and reduce their exposure to risks
○​ credit risk
○​ interest rate risk
○​ liquidity risk
●​ lending information processing and monitoring of borrowers ​
→ eg. assess riskiness of loans by checking customer’s income, history …
2

,Banks can be regarded as retailers of financial securities
●​ they buy the securities issued by borrowers: granting loans
●​ they sell these securities to lenders: collecting deposits

Complexity issues typical of banks: loans and deposits…
●​ are non-marketable financial contracts
●​ remain on the bank’s balance sheet until they expire
●​ differ in characteristics (see lecture 2)


2. Why do banks/financial intermediaries exist?
Banks can serve as means to solve for market imperfections
●​ scale and scope economies: borrowers can diversify their risk
●​ informational asymmetries and information economics​
→ eg. borrowers know when they will need their money back while the bank doesn’t
○​ ex ante: adverse selection​
→ attract the wrong borrowers (eg. increasing interest rates attracts risk-taking people)
○​ interim: moral hazard​
→ ex post changing behavior (eg. if insured against theft, you don’t always lock the door)
○​ ex post: costly state verification​
→ how to check if the contract was respected
●​ banks as “pools of liquidity” or “coalition of borrowers” to create welfare
○​ provision of insurance to households against their (only privately observed) idiosyncratic
liquidity
○​ creates a “free-rider” problem…​
→ if too many banks rely on others to hold sufficient reserves, overall liquidity falls

Therefore, banks need to get the right incentives to produce efficient outcomes.
●​ depositors delegate the monitoring of borrowers to banks
●​ liquid deposit contracts and bank capital (“equity”) provide good incentives
○​ banks want to minimize their equity to increase the ROE
○​ regulators don’t want this because of the risk


2.1 Banks as “pools of liquidity” and “liquidity insurers”
Central idea
●​ households deposit savings with bank
●​ deposits are withdrawable when households encounter consumption needs

If household withdrawals are not (perfectly) correlated (not everyone withdraws at the same time)...
① a bank’s total cash reserve increases less than proportionally with the number of depositors
→ the probability of you needing liquidity = p and the chance all of you need it at the same time = pn




3

, ② a fractional reserve system is…
●​ viable
○​ a fraction of the deposits can be used to finance long-term, illiquid investments
○​ the remaining fraction can be held to meet liquidity demand
●​ fragile
○​ withdrawals motivated by other reasons than consumption needs may happen (risk)


3. A simple model
Model characteristics
●​ one-good economy (eg. potatoes)
○​ both a consumption good (eat them) and an investment good (plant them)
○​ you can’t do both, and you can’t harvest during growth
●​ three periods
●​ continuum of ex ante identical households (ex post they might differ)
●​ each household has one unit of the good at t = 0
●​ consumption of the good happens at either t = 1 or t = 2
●​ a “liquidity shock” happens if a household learns at t = 1 that consumption is
○​ early (t = 1) and utility is 𝑢(𝐶1)
○​ late (t = 2) and utility is ρ 𝑢(𝐶2) with 0 < ρ < 1 (discount factor for consumption utility)


From an ex ante perspective, a depositor’s utility equals
●​ π𝑖 = probability of being type i with i = 1, 2 and π1 = 1 − π2
𝑖
●​ 𝑐𝑖 = the consumption of an agent of type i at date t




Characteristics of the utility function
●​ type 1 means that you need to consume early
●​ type 2 means that you need to consume late
●​ 𝑈 is an increasing, concave function
○​ marginal utility goes down (eg. the more potatoes you consume, the less utility for extra)
○​ risk averse → willing to buy insurance and have a certain outcome with higher probability




The good can be
●​ stored across periods
●​ invested in a long-run technology at t = 0, returning
○​ R > 1 at t = 2 (“late” consumption)
○​ L < 1 when liquidated at t = 1 (“early” consumption)​
→ if you would’ve known you would need consumption at t = 1, it was better to store it

4

Table of contents

  1. 01 PRACTICAL INFORMATION 1
    1. 1. Exam 1
    2. 2. Bank runs 1
  2. 02 What is a bank? What do banks do? 2
    1. 1. What do banks do? 2
    2. 2. Why do banks/financial intermediaries exist? 3
    3. 3. A simple model 4
  3. 03 Banks and liquidity creating: a simple exposition of the Diamond-Dybvig model 6
    1. 1. Consumer demand for liquidity 6
    2. 2. The uncertain horizon for investors 6
    3. 3. The investor’s utility function 7
    4. 4. Comparing more and less liquid assets 7
    5. 5. Bank liquidity creation 8
    6. 6. The optimal amount of liquidity 9
    7. 7. An extension: the principle of asset management 10
    8. 8. Bank runs 11
    9. 9. (Un)stable bank system - equilibrium beliefs, locally stable equilibria and tipping points 12
    10. 10. Conclusion 13
  4. 04 Credit market 14
    1. 1. Credit market and moral hazard 14
    2. 2. Credit market and adverse selection (Stiglitz & Weiss, 1981) 14
  5. 05 Imperfect capital markets (Holmström & Tirole, 1997) 16
    1. 1. Introduction 16
    2. 2. Theoretical illustration 16
  6. 06 A rationale for (prudential) regulation of banks 20
    1. 1. Summary 20
    2. 2. What is a bank? 20
    3. 3. Universal versus specialized banking 21
    4. 4. Deposits, debt and equity 22
    5. 5. Why do banks fail? 23
    6. 6. Why (not) regulate banks? 23
  7. 07 Micro- and macroeconomic approaches 25
    1. 1. Required reading 25
    2. 2. Bailing-out and bailing-in 25
    3. 3. Very brief history of banking crises and banking regulation 25
    4. 4. EXTRA: Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) 29
    5. 5. European banking crisis: an international perspective 32
    6. 6. State aid and (2008) bank-bailouts 33
    7. Conclusion 35
  8. 08 Belgian banking sector: risk assessment (2025) - part 1 37
    1. 1. Introduction 37
    2. 2. The Belgian banking landscape 38
    3. 3. State of play 40
    4. 4. Conclusion 47
  9. 09 Belgian banking sector: the challenges ahead (2025) - part 2 47
    1. 1. Challenges of the new interest rate environment 47
    2. 2. Implications for macroprudential policy 50
    3. 3. Non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI) 52
    4. 4. Digitisation of financial services 52
    5. 5. Climate related risks 54
    6. 6. Anti-money laundering 55
  10. 10 Conclusion 56
  11. 11 Macroprudential policy in Belgium: an overview 57
    1. 1. Financial stability and macroprudential policy 57
    2. 2. Macroprudential powers and instruments: Belgian and European context 58
    3. 3. Macroprudential measures and actions in Belgium 59
    4. 4. Questions 62
  12. 12 State aid and financial institutions 62
    1. 1. What is state aid? 62
    2. 2. Legal basis and economic rationale 63
    3. 3. Four cumulative criteria 64
    4. 4. Exemptions and frameworks: compatibility with the internal market 65
    5. 5. Bank crisis and bank-sovereign nexus 66
    6. 6. Single Resolution Fund (SRF) and state aid 70
    7. 7. Crisis Management and Deposit Insurance (CMDI) 71
    8. 8. Experience from past crises and state aid cases 73
  13. 13 Digital euro 75
    1. 1. A world of possibilities 75
    2. 2. Concerns about the efficiency of the payments market 76
    3. 3. Concerns about governance 77
    4. 4. Digital euro: strategic autonomy in an open payment market 77
  14. 14 Organisational set-up of financial supervision in Belgium and the EU 79
    1. 1. Context 79
    2. 2. The NBB mission in financial supervision 82
    3. 3. A ‘Banking Union’ in the Euro Area 82
    4. 4. The Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) 83
    5. 5. Supervision in the Insurance Sector 85
    6. 6. Supervision of the Financial Market Infrastructure Sector 85
    7. 7. Anti-Money Laundering supervision (AML/CTF) 86
    8. 8. NBB supervisory methodology, tools and powers 86
  15. 15 Governance requirements in the banking sector 87
    1. 1. Management structure 87
    2. 2. Fit & proper 89
    3. 3. Internal control and independent control functions 91
    4. 4. Other governance requirements 91
  16. 16 Conclusion 92
  17. 17 Why capital? 93
    1. 1. Why do banks need capital? 93
    2. 2. Forms of capital 93
  18. 18 Basel 94
    1. 1. Basel I (1988) 94
    2. 2. Basel II 95
    3. 3. Lessons learnt from Great Financial Crisis: Basel III/IV 97
  19. 19 Follow-up? TA experts 101

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