Inhoudsopgave
College 3 & 4: Beliefs................................................................................................................................ 2
Ambiguity Aversion .............................................................................................................................. 2
Biases in beliefs .................................................................................................................................... 2
Overconfidence & Optimisme.......................................................................................................... 3
Representativeness biases ............................................................................................................... 6
Base rate neglact .............................................................................................................................. 6
Sample size neglact .......................................................................................................................... 7
Gambler’s Fallacy ............................................................................................................................. 8
Hot hand fallacy ............................................................................................................................... 8
Intensitivity to predictability ............................................................................................................ 9
Illusion to validity ........................................................................................................................... 10
Misconceptions of regression ........................................................................................................ 10
Confirmation Bias ........................................................................................................................... 11
Anchoring ....................................................................................................................................... 12
Availability Bias .............................................................................................................................. 14
Gastcollege 1 .......................................................................................................................................... 16
Aegon: Rogier Potter van Loon .......................................................................................................... 16
Gastcollege 2 .......................................................................................................................................... 16
Ambiguity & Finance .......................................................................................................................... 16
Ellsberg’s Paradox .......................................................................................................................... 16
Home Bias ...................................................................................................................................... 16
Maxmin Expected utility ................................................................................................................ 17
1