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In-depth University Experimental Study: Optimising Logistics Demand Prediction with Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimisation This comprehensive report, submitted for the CS3CI Computational Intelligence module at Aston University, presents an experimental study on optimising logistics demand prediction using Particle Swarm Optimisation (PSO). It features a detailed comparison between a baseline PSO algorithm and a novel adaptive PSO approach for real-world forecasting challenges. This report is an excellent resource for students studying Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Data Science, or Computational Intelligence. It provides: A thorough literature review on relevant algorithms. Detailed explanation of the proposed solution, including both baseline and novel adaptive PSO methodologies. Insights into implementation details and experimental setup. Rigorous experimental results and their in-depth analysis. Discussion on performance metrics (MAE), generalisation, and the critical issue of overfitting in optimisation models. A clear example of how to conduct and report on an experimental study in a university computing context. Key Learning Outcomes: Understand the application of meta-heuristic optimisation algorithms (PSO) to real-world problems like demand forecasting. Learn about adaptive strategies in PSO and their impact on exploration-exploitation balance. Gain insights into designing and evaluating computational experiments. See a strong example of academic reporting for a technical assessment, including critical analysis of model limitations (e.g., overfitting).

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Optimising Logistics Demand
Prediction Using Adaptive Particle
Swarm Optimisation
Module Title: Computational Intelligence

Module Code: CS3CI

Assessment: Experimental Study






Student name: Priscilla Asamoah

Student Number: 230168011

Submission Date: 12th December 2025

Word count: 1,947













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Table of contents:

1.0 Introduction

2.0 Literature review and comparison of algorithms

3.0 Proposed solution

3.1 The baseline solution

3.2 The novel solution

3.3. Implementation details

4.0 Experimental Results

5.0 Analysis of Experimental Results

5.1 Performance on Training Data

5.2 Generalization and Robustness

6.0 Conclusion

7.0 References





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Uploaded on
December 15, 2025
Number of pages
10
Written in
2025/2026
Type
ESSAY
Professor(s)
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Grade
A

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