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GEA1000 Cheat Sheet AY 2025/2026,Complete Guide to Sampling, Probability, Statistical Inference, and Research Design (National University of Singapore)

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This concise and practical cheat sheet covers all essential topics in GEA1000 Quantitative Reasoning with Data for AY 2025/2026 at the National University of Singapore. It includes clear definitions of populations, samples, sampling frames, probability and non-probability sampling methods, and criteria for generalizability. It explains types of variables, properties of mean, median, standard deviation, and interquartile range, along with experimental vs. observational study designs, blinding techniques, and graphical analysis with histograms and box plots. Key statistical tools like correlation coefficients, normal distributions, confidence intervals, hypothesis testing, probability rules, conditional probability, and measures of diagnostic test performance (sensitivity and specificity) are presented in an easy-to-understand format. Perfect for last-minute revision or mastering core concepts quickly!

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QUANTITATIVE REASONING WITH DATA
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QUANTITATIVE REASONING WITH DATA
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QUANTITATIVE REASONING WITH
DATA (GEA 1000) CHEAT SHEET 2025-
2026 UNIVERSITY OF SINGAPORE

, GEA1000 Cheat sheet AY 2025-2026
Research Targets
Population: Entire group we wish to know something about
Sample: A proportion of the population selected in the study
Sampling frame: “Source Material” from which sample is drawn
Census: An attempt to reach out to the entire population of interest

Major Biases
• Selection bias refers to the researcher’s biased selection of participants
• Non-response bias refers to participants’ non-participation in the
research

Probability Samp ling Methods
• Simple random sampling: A sample of size n is chosen from the
sampling frame such that every unit has an equal chance to be selected
• Systematic sampling: The xth unit is chosen from every n/k units Symmetry Rules
where x,k are chosen integers and n is the size of the sampling frame
• Stratified sampling: The population is divided into groups (strata) and 1. rate(A | B) > rate(A | NB) ⟺ rate(B | A) > rate(B | NA)
SRS is applied to each strata to form the sample 2. rate(A | B) < rate(A | NB) ⟺ rate(B | A) < rate(B | NA)
• Cluster sampling: The population is divided into clusters and a fixed 3. rate(A | B) = rate(A | NB) ⟺ rate(B | A) = rate(B | NA)
number of clusters are chosen using SRS
Basic Rule on Rates
Non-Probability Samp ling Methods
Convenience sampling: Subjects are chosen based on ease of availability rate(A | B) ≤ rate(A) ≤ rate(A | NB) or vice versa. This means:
Volunteer sampling: Subjects volunteer themselves into a sample
The closer rate(B) is to 100%, the closer rate(A) is to rate(A | B
Generalisability Criteria If rate(B) = 50%, then rate(A) = 0.5[rate(A |B) + rate(A | NB)]
1. Sampling frame ≥ population If rate(A | B) = rate(A | NB), rate(A) = rate(A | B) = rate(A | NB
2. Probability sampling method implemented (selection bias ↓)
3. Large sample size (variability and random error ↓) Simpson’s Paradox
4. Minimise non-response rate A phenomenon in which a trend appears in more than half of th
groups of data but changes when the groups are combined
Variable Ty p es
Categorical: Variables that take on mutually exclusive categories Confounders
Numerical: Variables with numerical values where arithmetic can be • A third variable that is associated with both the independent
performed meaningfully dependent variables
• When a confounder is present, segregate the data by the
Variable Sub-Ty p es confounding variable. This method is called slicing
Ordinal: Categorical variables where there is some natural ordering
Nominal: Categorical variable where there is no intrinsic ordering Outliers
Discrete: Numerical variable with gaps in the set of possible numbers • An outlier is an observation that falls well above or below th
Continuous: Numerical variable that can be all values in a given range overall bulk of the data
Random: Numerical variable with probabilities assigned to each value • A general rule is that outliers should not be removed
unnecessarily
Prop erties of Mean (x̄ ) and Median (r) • x is an outlier if x > Q3 + 1.5·IQR or x < Q1 - 1.5·IQR
1. Adding c to all data points changes x̄ to x̄ + c and r to r + c
2. Multiplying c to all data points changes x̄ to cx̄ and r to cr

Prop erties of Standard Deviation and IQR
1. sx and IQR are positive and 0 only when all data points are identical
2. Adding c to all data points does not change sx and IQR
3. Multiplying c to all data points changes sx to |c|sx and IQR to |c|IQR
Study Designs Analysing Histograms
Observational study: Individuals are observed and variables are
Experimental study: The independent variable is intentionally
measured without any manipulation
manipulated to observe its effect on the dependent variable
Blinding

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