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Class notes

Foundation of Probability and Statistics - Lecture Notes & Practice Problems

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In-depth study notes for Foundation of Probability and Statistics. Covers fundamental probability concepts, conditional probability, Bayes' theorem, discrete/continuous random variables, statistical inference, and hypothesis testing. Includes solved practice problems and key formulas for fast revision.

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FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
FSP — Complete Notes
Prof. Dr. Rajlaxmi Chouhan
Weeks 1–13


WEEK 1 — Introduction to Statistics & Probability
All things in Data Science & AI → Stats & Probability play a vital role!



Module 1 — Basics
Flow of Statistics:
• Collection of Data → Description of Data (Descriptive Statistics) → Analysis of Data → Inferential
Statistics
• Random Selection: Division should be equally likely
• Scores / Average used in Description of Data

• Population: Total collection of elements
• Sample: Subgroup of population used

Applications:
• Most apps run on Data → Statistics & Probability
• How good is any player? → Find Average (Statistical Answer)
• One tool for Generating Data, One tool for Analyzing Data → Judging AI


WEEK 2 — Descriptive Statistics

1. Organizing The Data
• Data को Accumulate करना
• Frequency Table → Number of Occurrences


2. Visualizing The Data
• Line Graph, Bar Graph, Frequency Polygon, Histogram
• Relative Frequency Table → Frequency of Data / Total No. of Candidates (can be % also)
• Pie Chart


Histogram
• Lower Bound (35) and Upper Bound (40)
• Left End Inclusion: [35, 40) → e.g., 35 to 39, 40 to 44


Cumulative Frequency
• Total पर होते है → Last वाला Total Items के ऊपर होता है
• Relative Cumulative Frequency

, 📝 Note: अगर ये रट रहे हो तो ऊपर Upper Boundary of Class लगा दो। Eg: 500-600 की 600, 600-700 की 700



Cumulative Frequency Distribution = CDF = Ogive
• Class Interval v/s Cumulative Frequency
• Upper Boundary v/s Relative Cumulative Frequency


WEEK 3 — Measures of Central Tendency & Chebychev

Measures of Central Tendency
Tools to summarize a dataset


1. Mean (μ) — Average Value
Mean = Sum of Individual Items / Total No. of Items
• Outliers can affect the data!


2. Median
• Arrange Data in ascending order, Find middle values
• Even: (N/2 + N/2+1) / 2
• If odd → ((N+1)/2)th value
• Unaffected by High Outliers


3. Mode
• Most frequently occurring value
• If there is a tie between two → both are mode values → Bimodal Distribution
• Somewhat most useful! → Uses & Misleading

Uses of Mean:
• Evaluating Overall Usage
• Comparing Groups
• Budgeting Resources
• Individual Level Insights
• Decision making for popular plans


WEEK 4 — Measures of Dispersion

Variance & Standard Deviation
• Variance = σ² | Standard Deviation = √Variance = σ → Spread of Data


Population Variance (σ)
σ² = Σ(xᵢ - μ)² / N where μ = mean of entire population, N = entire
population


Sample Variance (s)
s² = Σ(xᵢ - μ)² / (n-1) where n = no. of samples (not entire population)

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August 3, 2026
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