Contradictories - correct answer A pair of claims that are exact opposites of each
other. Cannot have the same truth value
contraries - correct answer a pair of claims that cannot both be true but can both be
false and are not exact opposites
inconsistency - correct answer an individual is inconsistent if he/she says two things
that cannot be true at the same time
Confusing Explanations with Excuses - correct answer The fallacy of presuming that
when someone explains how or why something happened, he or she is either excusing or justifying what
happened
flip-flopping - correct answer gives no reason for thinking that a persons current
belief is defective
incorrectly combining the probability of independent events - correct answer cannot
affect the outcome of another independent events
Gambler's Fallacy - correct answer a common and seductive mistake that happens
when we do not realize that independent events really are independent
Overlooking Prior Probabilities - correct answer A fallacy that occurs when a speaker
or writer estimates the probability of something only on the basis of new data without taking into
account its prior probability.
prior probability - correct answer the true or actual proportion of something
, Faulty inductive conversion - correct answer information about the percentage of A's
that are B's does not by itself tell anything about the percentage of B's that are A's
deduction - correct answer demonstrates or proves conclusion (valid/invalid)
induction - correct answer supports a conclusion with evidence (strong/weak)
argument from analogy - correct answer an argument implies that something has an
attribute be a similar thing has that attribute
generalizing from a sample - correct answer happens when one reasons that all,
most or some % of the members of a pop. have attribute because all must or some % or a sample of
pop. have that attribute
casual statement - correct answer sets forth the cause of some events
casual hypothesis - correct answer a tentative casual statement offered for further
investigation or testing
Paired Unusual Events Principle - correct answer if something unusual happens, look
for something else unusual that has happened and consider whether it might be the cause
common variable principle - correct answer a variable common to multiple
occurrences of something may be related to it causally
covariation principle - correct answer a variation in one phenomenon is accompanied
by a variation in another, consider whether the two phenomena may be related causally
confirming causal hypothesis - correct answer involves trying to show that the
hypothesized cause is the condition "but for which" the effect in question would not happen