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CFA Level 1 Test Exam Questions and Answers

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CFA Level 1 Test Exam Questions and Answers The percentage changes in annual earnings for a company are approximately normally distributed with a mean of 5% and a standard deviation of 12%. The probability that the average change in earnings over the 5 years will be greater than 15.5% is closest to: A) 2.5% B) 5.0% C) 10% - Answer-A = 2.5% The standard error of a 5-year average of earnings changes is 12%√5=5.366.% 15.5% is 15.5−5/5.366=1.96 standard errors above the mean The probability of a 5-year average more than 1.96 standard errors above the mean is 2.5% for a normal distribution. Which of the following is least likely correct concerning a random variable that is lognormally distributed? A) It has a symmetric distribution. B) The natural logarithms of the random variable are normally distributed. c) It is a univariate distribution. - Answer-A = It has a symmetric distribution (false) A lognormal distribution is skewed to the right (positively skewed) An analyst is evaluating the degree of competition in an industry and compiles the following information: - Few Significant barriers to entry - Firms in the industry produce slightly differentiated products - Each firm faces a demand curve that is largely unaffected by the actions of other individual firms in the industry. This should be characterized as: A) Oligopoly B) Monopoly C) Monopolistic Competition - Answer-C = Monopolistic Competition Few Barriers to Entry + Little Interdependence among firms = Monopolistic Competition Which of the following statements about the behavior of firms in a perfectly competitive market is least accurate? A) A firm experiencing economic losses in the short run will continue to operate if its marginal revenues are greater than its variable costs. B) A firm that is producing less than the quantity for which marginal cost equals market price would lose money by increasing production C) If firms are earning economic profits in the short run, new firms will enter the market and reduce economic profits to zero in the long run. - Answer-B

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CFA Level 1 Test Exam Questions and
Answers
Allen Jabber invested $400 at the beginning of the last 12 months in the shares of a
mutual fund that paid no dividends. Which Method will he correctly choose to calculate
his average price per share from the monthly share prices?

a) Arithmetic Mean
b) Harmonic Mean
c) Geometric Mean - Answer-Harmonic Mean - The harmonic mean of the 12 purchase
prices will be his average price paid per share.

Colonia has 2 political parties, the Wigs and the Wags. If the Wags are elected there is
a 32% probability of a tax increase over the next 4 years. If the Wigs are elected there is
a 60% probability of a tax increase. There is a 20% probability the that the Wags will be
elected. The sum of the (unconditional) probability of a tax increase and the joint
probability that the wigs will be elected and there will be no tax increase is closest to:

a) 55%
b) 70%
c) 85% - Answer-86.4% = C

The unconditional probability of a tax increase is: 0.2(0.32) + 0.8(0.6) = 54.4%.
The joint probability that the Wigs will be elected and there will be no tax increase is:
0.8(0.4) = 32%. The sum is: 54.4 + 32 = 86.4%.

An analyst who wants to display the relationship between two variables graphically is
most likely to use:

a) a histogram
b) a scatterplot
c) a frequency polygon - Answer-B = Scatterplot

Scatterplots illustrate the relationship between two variables.
Histograms and frequency polygons show the distribution of observations for a single
variable.

Ralph will retire 15 years from today and has saved $121,000 in his investment account
for retirement. He believes he will need 37,000 at the beginning of each year for 25
Years of retirement, with the first withdrawal on the day he retires. Ralph assumes his
account will earn 8%. The amount he needs to deposit at the beginning of this year and
each of the following 14 Years (15 in all) is closest to:

a) 1350

, b) 1450
c) 1550 - Answer-B = 1450

Step 1:
Calculate the amount needed at retirement at t = 15, with your calculator in BGN mode.
N = 25, FV = 0, I/Y = 8, PMT = 37,000, CPT PV = -426,564
Step 2:
Calculate the required deposits at t = 0,1,....,14 to result in a time 15 value of 426,564,
with your calculator still in BGN mode.
PV = -121,000, N = 15, I/Y = 8, FV = 426,564, CPT PMT = -$1,457.21

The current price of Bosto shares is $50. Over the coming year, there is a 40%
probability that share returns will be 10%, 40% probability returns will be 12.5%, and a
20% probability share returns will be 30%. Bostos expected return and standard
deviation of returns for the coming year are closest to:

a) E(R) = 15% Standard Dev = 7.58%
b) E(R) = 17.5% Standard Dev = 5.75%
a) E(R) = 17.5% Standard Dev = 7.58% - Answer-A

E[R] = (0.4)(10) + (0.4)(12.5) + (0.2)(30) = 15%

Variance = (0.4)(10 − 15)2 + (0.4)(12.5 − 15)2 + (0.2)(30 − 15)2 = 57.5
Standard deviation=√57.5=7.58%

Nikki Ali and Donald Ankard borrowed $15,000 to finance their wedding and reception.
The fully amortizing loan at 11% requires equal payments at the end of each of the next
seven years. The principle portion of the first payment is closest to:

A) 1500
B) 1530
C) 1560 - Answer-B

The interest portion of the first payment is simply principal × interest rate = (15,000 ×
0.11) = 1,650.

Using a financial calculator: PV = 15,000, FV = 0, I/Y = 11, N = 7, CPT PMT= $3,183

Principal = payment − interest = 3,183 − 1,650 = 1,533

Which of the following statements about probability distributions is least accurate?

A) Continuous uniform distributions have cumulative distribution functions that are
straight lines from 0 to 1.
B) The probability that a continuously distributed random variable will take on a specific
value is always 0.

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