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FIN4802 Assignment 1 (COMPLETE ANSWERS) Semester 1 2025 - DUE 23 May 2025; 100% correct solutions and explanations.

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FIN4802 Assignment 1 (COMPLETE ANSWERS) Semester 1 2025 - DUE 23 May 2025; 100% correct solutions and explanations. Question 1 (8 Marks) Mkhize Ltd would like to assess the country risk of South Africa. Mkhize Ltd has identified various political and financial risk factors, as shown below. Political Risk Factor Assigned Rating Assigned Weight Blockage of fund transfers 7 65% Bureaucracy 3 55% Financial Risk Factor Assigned Rating Assigned Weight Interest rate 5 30% Inflation 6 20% Exchange rate 5 11% Competition 4 35% Growth 7 30% Mkhize Ltd has assigned an overall rating of 85 percent to political risk factors and of 35 percent to financial risk factors. The investment policy for Mkhize Ltd mentions that the company can only invest in a country if the country's risk is below 8.5. Should Mkhize Ltd consider South Africa for investment? [8] Question 2 (15 marks) Tshepo Molefe is a foreign exchange dealer with Investec South Africa. He notices the following quotes: Spot exchange rate ZAR1.3220/BWP 1 year forward exchange rate ZAR1.1492/BWP 1 year BWP interest rate 5.00% per year 1 year ZAR interest rate 7.50% per year a) the interest rate parity holding? You may ignore transaction costs. (3) b) With the aid of calculations, show whether or not an arbitrage opportunity exists. (2) c) In the event that there is an arbitrage opportunity, you are required to demonstrate all the steps that need to be taken to make an arbitrage profit. Assume that Tshepo Molefe is authorised to work with BWP1 000 000 in the Botswana Pula market, or ZAR1 322 000 in the South African Rand market. Compute the arbitrage profit. (7) Question 3 (27 marks) Greeley plc. is a U.S.-based multinational firm (MNF) that purchases most of its materials from Australia and generates a small portion of its sales from exporting to Australia. Its U.S. sales are denominated in U.S. dollars, while its Australian sales are denominated in Australian dollars (AUD). Using the cost and revenue information shown for Greeley plc. in Exhibit 1 determine how the costs, revenue, and cash flow items would be affected by three possible exchange rates for the Australian dollar: (1) AUD= US$0.75, (2) AUD = US$0.80, or (3) AUD = US$0.85. (Assume U.S. sales will be unaffected by the exchange rate.) Assume that Australian AUD earnings will be remitted to the U.S. parent at the end of the period. Ignore possible tax effects. Exhibit 1 - Estimated Sales and Expenses for Greeley’s U.S. and Australian Business Segments (in Millions) U.S. Business Australian Business Sales $320 AUD 4 Cost of materials $ 50 AUD 200 Operating expenses $ 60 - Interest expenses $ 3 AUD 10 Cash flows $207 -AUD 206

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,FIN4802 Assignment 1 (COMPLETE ANSWERS) Semester
1 2025 - DUE 23 May 2025; 100% correct solutions and
explanations.
QUESTION 1
𝑺𝒕𝒆𝒑 𝟏: 𝑪𝒂𝒍𝒄𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒆 𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝑨𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝑷𝒐𝒍𝒊𝒕𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝑹𝒊𝒔𝒌
𝑊𝑒 𝑢𝑠𝑒 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑎:

𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒
= ∑(𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔
× 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡)∑𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠\𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡{𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒}
= \𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐{\𝑠𝑢𝑚 (\𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡{𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔} \𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠
\𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡{𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡})}{\𝑠𝑢𝑚
\𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡{𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠}}𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒
= ∑𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠∑(𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 × 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡)
𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑘 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠:

𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓 𝑹𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕 (%)
𝐵𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑘𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑢𝑛𝑑 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑠𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑠 7 65
𝐵𝑢𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑢𝑐𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑦 3 55

, 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑆𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑒 = (7 × 0.65) + (3 × 0.55)
= 4.55 + 1.65
= 6.20\𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡{𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑆𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑒}
= (7 \𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 0.65) + (3 \𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒𝑠 0.55)
= 4.55 + 1.65
= 6.20𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑆𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑒
= (7 × 0.65) + (3 × 0.55) = 4.55 + 1.65
= 6.20 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠 = 0.65 + 0.55
= 1.20\𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡{𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠}
= 0.65 + 0.55 = 1.20𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑊𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠
= 0.65 + 0.55 = 1.20 𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘
= 6.201.20 = 5.17\𝑡𝑒𝑥𝑡{𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘}
= \𝑓𝑟𝑎𝑐{6.20}{1.20}
= 5.17𝐴𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘 = 1.206.20 = 5.17


🔹 𝑺𝒕𝒆𝒑 𝟐: 𝑪𝒂𝒍𝒄𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒆 𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝑨𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒇𝒐𝒓 𝑭𝒊𝒏𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒊𝒂𝒍 𝑹𝒊𝒔𝒌
𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑘 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠:

𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓 𝑹𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝑾𝒆𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕 (%)
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 5 30
𝐼𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 6 20
𝐸𝑥𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 5 11
𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 4 35
𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 7 30

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