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ECS3701 assignment 2 semester 1 2025

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ECS3701
assignmen
ASSIGNMENT 2 Semester 1 2025
UNIQUE CODE: 871621
Detailed Solutions, References & Explanations




DUE DATE: 09 May 2025

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2.01 (a) – The Effect of the Unchanged Repo Rate on the Economy

The decision by the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to keep the repo rate
unchanged at 7.5% reflects a cautious monetary policy stance amidst increased
economic uncertainty. This approach is likely to have a neutral to mildly positive
effect on the economy in the short term, primarily because it maintains the cumulative
benefit of previous interest rate cuts while avoiding further risk exposure.

By not raising the rate, the SARB avoids tightening monetary conditions, thereby
continuing to support consumer and business borrowing at relatively low costs. Lower
interest rates enhance the affordability of credit, stimulate investment, and increase
household consumption, which collectively drive aggregate demand. Therefore, keeping
the rate unchanged allows these channels to remain supportive of economic growth.

At the same time, the SARB acknowledges the presence of upside risks to inflation
and global uncertainty, including trade tensions. By pausing rate changes, the SARB
positions itself as a responsible authority concerned with long-term price stability. This
approach builds policy credibility, which is critical for managing inflation
expectations—a key determinant of future inflation.




Disclaimer
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without any representations or warranties, express or implied. The author assumes no liability as
a result of reliance and use of the contents of this document. This document is to be used for
comparison, research and reference purposes ONLY. No part of this document may be
reproduced, resold or transmitted in any form or by any means.

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