projection that analyzes the efficiency of the supply of health services.

Scenario: Your hospital has an opportunity to participate with an Accountable Care Organization (ACO) contract with 20,000 ACO patients. The ACO patient population expects about 2,000 avoidable hospitalizations per year with a potential savings of $20 million, which will be shared as follows: 50% revenue to the insurer and 50% revenue to the hospital. The ACO patient population will require an average of six office visits per year, and 120,000 total office visits will need to be supplied by your...